2/6: WEDNESDAY'S Light Snow and Mild Temps...SNOWY WEEKEND?

Haven't posted a Blog in quite sometime, but the threat of Heavy Snow for Central WY is possible.

Haven't Done so, here is Tuesday's Night's Video Forecast:  TUESDAY'S WEBCAST

WEDNESDAY:
A Weak Front will swing through from MT into WY during the day and will drop light snow for the YNP/Bighorns.  Just not enough Moisture with this bad boy, but enough to coat in the Higher Elevations. Temperatures, however, another Mild Day for Central/Eastern WY with clouds and readings nearing 50° again.

(ABOVE) As you see, maybe a dusting to an Inch in the Bighorns and Inch or two for YNP..and maybe light snow for the Snowy's and Sierra Madre's.


WEEKEND:

VERY hard to forecast this snow system at this time.  Models are varying and differentiating itself. Plus, a 1-2 Punch will come with this and later a 3rd Wave approaches later Sunday.

SYNOPSIS:  An Approaching Cold Front will slide in and bring a deep Trough of Cold air and an Upper Low from the Southwest moving NE into the Colorado area.  Low deepens from 1008 > 996 MB at times.  If you know what means, lots of Deepening and Pressure with intense banding possible..UPSLOPE potential. NOT DONE YET,...A new shot of Colder Air swings in on Sunday with a Low dropping from Canada/MT into WY. Thus, bringing more Snow chances on top of the Saturday snow.

--GFS on Friday Night:  LOW is giving some moisture over-riding on top of more moisture (Isentropics) for Southern/Western WY. 

--This is the story painted for 11PM Friday Night.

--EUROPEAN Model showing the Low in the same placement on Saturday Morning at 5AM

NOTE the Wind Barbs showing a NE wind flow component...keep an eye on it.  UPSLOPE potential. Light to Moderate Snowfall is possible for West of the Divide and just West of Casper.

--GFS Saturday Night at 11PM

The LOW intensifies like I mentioned in CO and continues the Snow for Central WY.  Winds could come from the 'North', but with that being said, Upslope is not a potential during this times.

-SE WY (Cheyenne) looks like they could see heavier snow at this time.

NOW...Eyes turn North in MT.  That Moisture will drop South giving us that extra chance of Snow Potential.

--EUROPEAN  at 11PM Saturday Night:

--NOW, look at the Placement of the Low on this.  Here, its slightly North than the GFS.  IF, this is right, we will see MORE snow potential for Central WY. Plus, the Low is deep at 996MB.  Deeper the Low, more intense the Snow could be.

--SNOW in Northern MT will drop in WY by Sunday.



WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?

Still, a lot can change between Now and Friday.  Snow Accumulations are through the Roof with some models but we will fine-tune them when Thursday approaches.  Still not sure where the LOW will go, but that is whats so hard about tracking Lows..they have a mind of its own.

HOWEVER, here is the GFS SNOW MAP to give you an estimate what we could see...don't Trust this amount at first.

NEXT POST Wednesday Night.