Wednesday, February 6, 2013

2/7: WEEKEND SNOW THREAT...Still Likely

--NAM for Saturday Afternoon to Evening brings Moderate to Heavy Snow for Central WY and in the Riverton/Casper Area.

--This morning, the track was farther West. BUT, this evening the track shifted East to include a  996 > 992 MB Low in the Nebraska Panhandle.

REMEMBER, this is just Saturday, a new batch arrives on Sunday from MT with Light to Moderate snow on this one for Central WY.





--CANADIAN shows the same from the NAM Model, but the Low just slightly south of the NAM track.

Moderate to Heavy Snow is with this in Central WY, but the GEM (Canadian) likes to be more 'aggressive' than most models.  We shall see how it pans out.








--EUROPEAN likes the snow to be a little bit slower than the NAM on their runs.. About 6 hours slower, in fact. 

Moderate snow is likely with this track for Central WY with Upslope potential.  Not to forget, the GFS is siding with the EURO on this one as well.

-Light to Moderate snow continues on Sunday for both models with the new batch from MT for Central WY.


METEOGRAM TIME:

(LEFT) Casper-- 6-10"









(LEFT) Riverton: 6-12"








(LEFT) Lander:  10-22"

Remember, the 18"+ could creep near the foothills too..as you approach the Wind Rivers.






SNOW POTENTIAL AMOUNTS:

1st:  Here is the NAM Snow Amount through Sunday Morning...Remember, WE WILL see more snow by Sunday morning and afternoon.

Casper:  12-20"
Riverton:  8-14"









 2nd:  GFS Snow Amount:  

Not as much as the NAM, since the snow track is a little to the South and East..but still impressive.

CASPER:  6-10"
RIVERTON:  4-8"











THOUGHTS ??.....
Well folks, some of these snow amounts overwhelmed me tonight.  But we do have a very potent storm to forecast for and must use our thinking caps on this.  For a PERFECT snow, you want a Southern Low track to sweep and re-generate itself at the perfect spot East of the Rockies and travel to the Northeast.
This 'could' happen and still a 'ways away' from it.  PLEASE follow our latest trends/models here at KTWO.

-MIKE

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