Friday, October 11, 2013

10/11: More Snow on the Way?

Newest Weather Data is coming in this Friday Evening for our Late Weekend/Monday Snow potential.

It is so tough to track each Storm System because several Weather Models suggest something Different. AND if there isn't a very strong storm, its hard to show where the Center of the Low will be and how the Progression (fast or slow) will take.  ALL of these Variables come into play with this upcoming Storm.  

THOUGHTS:  I don't like this upcoming storm because: 

1) The Weather Models have stayed inconsistent on the Track
                                                                                     
 2) The Speed of the Storm either wants to Speed up or  Slow Down "Organizing" Movement.
                                                                                    
  3)  The Storm's Intensity isn't as Strong unlike the Last Weekend's Storm/Blizzard.

With these 3 Thoughts, I am just going to give you a basic rundown of what I am seeing on the Models from Friday for this Weekend Storm 

<< ALL Models by Sunday Evening show that chance of Light Rain for much of Central WY but some Mountain Snow in Western WY and possibly the Bighorns.  Advisories from the NWS will likely be issued 

-- A weak Low (1012mb) will form in Southeast WY/ Northern CO as our Storm slowly begins to Develop.




** WEATHER TIP:  If you see a Low right on top of you, like how it is along the Laramies for Casper & Cheyenne, you won't see much.  Why the colder air will always stay to the Northwest of that 'L' and the Snow will pile on the Mountains **



<< MANY of the Models by Monday Afternoon & Evening show a slightly stronger Low (1008mb) in Eastern CO/Western KS/ Southwest NE.

-- The EURO (shown here) is more aggressive with the Precip with Light Snow in Central WY with Moderate Snow in the Mountains.






TIMING: So Far, I see a Rain chance late Sunday for much of Central WY and Snow in the Mountains.  I think we will see a duration of Light Snow from Monday Morning through the Evening.  Also, there could be a few heavier bands trying to develop for an Hour or so as this could be another BIG Snow for the Bighorns and possibly for Black Hills; not like last week, though.


AMOUNTS:  Its still over 48 Hours until we will likely see the 1st Snow flake in Central WY, but I'll keep you updated what the Models do show and everything else.

Next Blog Post: Late Saturday Evening as the newest data comes in.




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